At this point I think it's clear that Tesla's share price is entirely irrational. Their sales are down globally, they're facing a government in the US that's openly hostile to EVs, a market in the EU that openly detests their products because their CEO is a Nazi, and in China they're being destroyed by cheaper competitors.
Even if they were a successful car company with clear skies and open road ahead of them, that would not justify their share price. Tesla's market cap is 1.44tn. Toyota's is 262bn. There is no sane world where Tesla's car business is worth 5½ times Toyota's.
Investors are, at best, pricing Tesla on the notion that their self driving tech is where the real money is at, but even that is entirely irrational because Waymo are destroying them on a self driving. Tesla have over promised and under delivered on self driving for years, and have little more than lawsuits to show for it, while their competition have been solving all the problems they still struggle with.
Which leaves us with the conclusion that investors are really just pricing Tesla on vibes, and perhaps on the broader bet that one of the richest men in the world will always succeed in keeping the main source of his wealth from collapsing. Basically the only argument for betting on this company that I can see is that it's too big to fail in a world this corrupt.